Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

146.61 – 99.11

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

120 – 144

Prediction missed · off by 35.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 217.9 ±12.2

467Center of Mass

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 68.15Rank 16Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4176Iron Tigers

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 17.14Rank 44Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6153Blue Crew

Season APEX 58.6Event APEX 61.32Rank 42Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 379.6 ±11.7

1474Titans

Season APEX 23.5Event APEX 37.51Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3461Operation PEACCE Robotics

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX -27.42Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

131CHAOS

Season APEX 268.3Event APEX 89.02Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 467, 4176, 6153

/ 100 compat

Projected

146.6 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 467, 4176, 6153

Auto

17.8 14%

Teleop

70.5 56%

Endgame

38.2 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 11%

Blue · 1474, 3461, 131

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.1 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1474, 3461, 131

Auto

27.9 32%

Teleop

29.8 35%

Endgame

28.4 33%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 11%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.94 · Blue 1.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score146.6pts

Blue projected score99.1pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 11%, blue 10%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 47.5
Score range: 60–186
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 264 vs event baseline 218.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

217.9Season APEX379.6

17.8Auto27.9

70.5Teleop29.8

38.2Endgame28.4

49Consistency149

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	7
teleop	52	86
endgame	45	21
foul	0	30
total	120	144

Result

Final score

120 – 144

Prediction missed · off by 35.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable