Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

261.12 – 420.09

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

227 – 316

Prediction correct · off by 69.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 320.6 ±12.2

2342Team Phoenix

Season APEX 108.3Event APEX 104.19Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2423The KwarQs

Season APEX 133.5Event APEX 116.9Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

516StuyPlus

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 40.03Rank 26Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 561.8 ±9.8

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 61.3Rank 17Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 272.35Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1155SciBorgs

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 86.44Rank 15Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2342, 2423, 516

/ 100 compat

Projected

261.1 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2342, 2423, 516

Auto

56.5 21%

Teleop

152.6 57%

Endgame

57.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 13%

Blue · 173, 694, 1155

/ 100 compat

Projected

420.1 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 173, 694, 1155

Auto

74.1 18%

Teleop

267.6 64%

Endgame

79.7 19%

Strengths

· 694 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 13%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.94 · Blue 2.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score261.1pts

Blue projected score420.1pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 13%, blue 17%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -159
Score range: 222–459
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 543 vs event baseline 217.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

320.6Season APEX561.8

56.5Auto74.1

152.6Teleop267.6

57.5Endgame79.7

10Consistency137

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	26
teleop	154	158
endgame	35	127
foul	5	5
total	227	316

Result

Final score

227 – 316

Prediction correct · off by 69.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable