Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

310.18 – 236.2

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

270 – 289

Prediction missed · off by 46.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 437.3 ±10.5

5813Morpheus

Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 208.1Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10063S.C.R.A.P.

Season APEX 107.5Event APEX 41.78Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

157AZTECHS

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 60.3Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 524 ±12.4

1591Greece Gladiators

Season APEX 206.6Event APEX 102.36Rank 8Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 130.36Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2262Robo-Panthers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 3.48Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5813, 10063, 157

/ 100 compat

Projected

310.2 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5813, 10063, 157

Auto

51.5 17%

Teleop

195.2 65%

Endgame

55.6 18%

Strengths

· 5813 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 23%

Blue · 1591, 48, 2262

/ 100 compat

Projected

236.2 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1591, 48, 2262

Auto

47.8 20%

Teleop

121.9 51%

Endgame

67.9 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 23%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.33 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score310.2pts

Blue projected score236.2pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 23%, blue 23%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 74
Score range: 198–348
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 559 vs event baseline 213.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

437.3Season APEX524

51.5Auto47.8

195.2Teleop121.9

55.6Endgame67.9

78Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	46
teleop	167	168
endgame	82	60
foul	0	15
total	270	289

Result

Final score

270 – 289

Prediction missed · off by 46.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable