Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

138.42 – 307.99

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

168 – 177

Prediction correct · off by 80.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 285.5 ±11

8567Team Ultraviolet

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 44.74Rank 37Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1735Green Reapers

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 61.2Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10262Bionic Buzzers

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 32.48Rank 25Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 670.8 ±9.5

5735Control Freaks

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 50.98Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 164.75Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

238Crusaders

A+

Season APEX 297.5Event APEX 92.26Rank 24Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8567, 1735, 10262

/ 100 compat

Projected

138.4 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8567, 1735, 10262

Auto

19.2 16%

Teleop

41.3 35%

Endgame

57.9 49%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 17%

Blue · 5735, 1768, 238

/ 100 compat

Projected

308 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5735, 1768, 238

Auto

55.4 19%

Teleop

106.0 37%

Endgame

123.9 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 17%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.02 · Blue 2.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score138.4pts

Blue projected score308pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 17%, blue 15%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -169.6
Score range: 99–347
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 345 vs event baseline 217.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

285.5Season APEX670.8

19.2Auto55.4

41.3Teleop106

57.9Endgame123.9

68Consistency109

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	30
teleop	95	77
endgame	58	70
foul	5	0
total	168	177

Result

Final score

168 – 177

Prediction correct · off by 80.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

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