Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

118.23 – 204.49

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

351 – 210

Prediction missed · off by 119.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 497.9 ±10.5

1155SciBorgs

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 42.56Rank 15Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

131CHAOS

Season APEX 268.3Event APEX 27.26Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2342Team Phoenix

Season APEX 108.3Event APEX 48.41Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 568 ±10.2

5494Bizarbots Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 30.33Rank 41Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

166Chop Shop

Season APEX 239.3Event APEX 86.16Rank 11Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 88Rank 18Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1155, 131, 2342

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.2 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1155, 131, 2342

Auto

9.8 9%

Teleop

57.1 51%

Endgame

45.5 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 12%

Blue · 5494, 166, 190

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.5 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5494, 166, 190

Auto

7.1 4%

Teleop

126.2 66%

Endgame

57.8 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 12%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.27 · Blue 2.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score118.2pts

Blue projected score204.5pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 12%, blue 14%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -86.3
Score range: 79–243
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 561 vs event baseline 214.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

497.9Season APEX568

9.8Auto7.1

57.1Teleop126.2

45.5Endgame57.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	7
teleop	183	141
endgame	101	57
foul	0	5
total	351	210

Result

Final score

351 – 210

Prediction missed · off by 119.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable