Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

174.13 – 207.49

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

123 – 307

Prediction correct · off by 75.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 262.2 ±11

8708Ov3R1y K0Mp13X

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 28.45Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

151Tough Techs

Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 85.32Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6153Blue Crew

Season APEX 58.6Event APEX 60.36Rank 42Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 425.6 ±11.7

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 91.79Rank 9Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

126Gael Force

Season APEX 85.9Event APEX 95.53Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

516StuyPlus

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 20.17Rank 26Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8708, 151, 6153

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.1 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8708, 151, 6153

Auto

29.6 17%

Teleop

92.7 54%

Endgame

48.4 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 9%

Blue · 2370, 126, 516

/ 100 compat

Projected

207.5 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2370, 126, 516

Auto

25.7 12%

Teleop

109.5 53%

Endgame

70.7 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 9%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.37 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score174.1pts

Blue projected score207.5pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 9%, blue 15%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -33.4
Score range: 135–246
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 430 vs event baseline 214.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

262.2Season APEX425.6

29.6Auto25.7

92.7Teleop109.5

48.4Endgame70.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	59
teleop	66	202
endgame	20	46
foul	0	0
total	123	307

Result

Final score

123 – 307

Prediction correct · off by 75.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable