Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

355.3 – 204.2

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

376 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 55.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 557.2 ±9.9

1922Oz-Ram

Season APEX 271.5Event APEX 151.48Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

157AZTECHS

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 59.53Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 144.29Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 329.7 ±11

3461Operation PEACCE Robotics

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX -5.57Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

467Center of Mass

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 73.93Rank 16Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2423The KwarQs

Season APEX 133.5Event APEX 135.84Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1922, 157, 48

/ 100 compat

Projected

355.3 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1922, 157, 48

Auto

34.5 10%

Teleop

198.9 59%

Endgame

105.2 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 29%

Blue · 3461, 467, 2423

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.2 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3461, 467, 2423

Auto

16.9 9%

Teleop

120.0 62%

Endgame

57.2 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 29%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.87 · Blue 0.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score355.3pts

Blue projected score204.2pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 29%, blue 15%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 151.1
Score range: 166–393
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 490 vs event baseline 212.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

557.2Season APEX329.7

34.5Auto16.9

198.9Teleop120

105.2Endgame57.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	33
teleop	223	77
endgame	97	4
foul	0	0
total	376	114

Result

Final score

376 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 55.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable