Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

363.93 – 217.26

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

506 – 285

Prediction correct · off by 104.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 524.7 ±10.5

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 241.64Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1277The Robotomies

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 52.73Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1729Team Inconceivable!

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 69.56Rank 19Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 469.7 ±11.2

10910The Outlaws

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 54.91Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2262Robo-Panthers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX -3.75Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5813Morpheus

Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 166.1Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 694, 1277, 1729

/ 100 compat

Projected

363.9 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 694, 1277, 1729

Auto

33.1 10%

Teleop

232.1 67%

Endgame

81.6 24%

Strengths

· 694 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 14%

Blue · 10910, 2262, 5813

/ 100 compat

Projected

217.3 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10910, 2262, 5813

Auto

49.1 22%

Teleop

123.9 56%

Endgame

48.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 14%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.67 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score363.9pts

Blue projected score217.3pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 14%, blue 23%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 146.7
Score range: 180–401
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 791 vs event baseline 203.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

524.7Season APEX469.7

33.1Auto49.1

232.1Teleop123.9

81.6Endgame48.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	87	82
teleop	314	146
endgame	105	52
foul	0	5
total	506	285

Result

Final score

506 – 285

Prediction correct · off by 104.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable