Qualification · Qualification 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
470.4 – 340.92
83%17%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
476 – 327
Prediction correct · off by 9.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 627.1 ±11.7
Season APEX 206.6Event APEX 110.98Rank 8Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 98.62Rank 25Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 260.8Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 564.4 ±9.9
Season APEX 271.5Event APEX 224.1Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.6Event APEX 32.49Rank 42Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 234.3Event APEX 84.33Rank 20Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1591, 10262, 694
82
/ 100 compatProjected
470.4 pts
~2.9 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1591, 10262, 694
Auto
73.0 16%
Teleop
267.9 60%
Endgame
102.3 23%
Strengths
- · 694 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 30%
Traversal: 19%
Blue · 1922, 6153, 8724
79
/ 100 compatProjected
340.9 pts
~1.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1922, 6153, 8724
Auto
60.4 18%
Teleop
167.0 50%
Endgame
107.0 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 30%
Traversal: 19%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.85 · Blue 1.11
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score470.4pts
Blue projected score340.9pts
Red win probability83%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 69%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 30%, blue 16%
Traversal bonusred 19%, blue 18%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 129.5
- Score range
- 295–516
- Upset likelihood
- 17%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-17
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
627.1Season APEX564.4
73Auto60.4
267.9Teleop167
102.3Endgame107
40Consistency82
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 50 | 63 |
| teleop | 302 | 158 |
| endgame | 119 | 96 |
| foul | 5 | 10 |
| total | 476 | 327 |
Result
Final score
476 – 327
Prediction correct · off by 9.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable