Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

142.1 – 137.46

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

166 – 121

Prediction correct · off by 20.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 291.3 ±41.2

1591Greece Gladiators

Season APEX 206.6Event APEX 128.74Rank 8Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 10.09Rank 35Record 3-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 3.27Rank 45Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 476.1 ±12.4

4122Ossining OBOTS

Season APEX 233.2Event APEX 135.3Rank 10Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

271Mechanical Marauders

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX -53.24Rank 48Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 89

1735Green Reapers

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 55.4Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1591, 9990, 7153

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.1 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1591, 9990, 7153

Auto

35.5 25%

Teleop

85.4 59%

Endgame

23.5 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 17%

Blue · 4122, 271, 1735

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.5 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4122, 271, 1735

Auto

21.3 17%

Teleop

68.1 54%

Endgame

37.3 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 17%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.75 · Blue 1.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score142.1pts

Blue projected score137.5pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 17%, blue 22%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 4.6
Score range: 100–179
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 287 vs event baseline 206.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

291.3Season APEX476.1

35.5Auto21.3

85.4Teleop68.1

23.5Endgame37.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	43
teleop	30	40
endgame	82	23
foul	0	15
total	166	121

Result

Final score

166 – 121

Prediction correct · off by 20.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable