Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

77.84 – 207.9

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

72 – 462

Prediction correct · off by 130 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 274.8 ±12.2

516StuyPlus

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 24.82Rank 26Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

10910The Outlaws

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 50.5Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3461Operation PEACCE Robotics

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 2.52Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 647.7 ±8.8

2423The KwarQs

Season APEX 133.5Event APEX 62.59Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 57.25Rank 18Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5813Morpheus

Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 88.06Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 516, 10910, 3461

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.8 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 516, 10910, 3461

Auto

21.3 30%

Teleop

45.9 65%

Endgame

2.9 4%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 20%

Blue · 2423, 190, 5813

/ 100 compat

Projected

207.9 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2423, 190, 5813

Auto

4.2 2%

Teleop

144.0 69%

Endgame

61.3 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 20%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.04 · Blue 2.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score77.8pts

Blue projected score207.9pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 20%, blue 23%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -130.1
Score range: 40–246
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 534 vs event baseline 210.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

274.8Season APEX647.7

21.3Auto4.2

45.9Teleop144

2.9Endgame61.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	84
teleop	19	280
endgame	22	98
foul	5	0
total	72	462

Result

Final score

72 – 462

Prediction correct · off by 130 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable