Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

107.68 – 129.04

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

65 – 171

Prediction correct · off by 42.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 176 ±41.6

2262Robo-Panthers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 0.04Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5494Bizarbots Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 76.55Rank 41Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 31.09Rank 35Record 3-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 318.9 ±10.4

467Center of Mass

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 94.6Rank 16Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX -21.88Rank 45Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

151Tough Techs

Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 56.32Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2262, 5494, 9990

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.7 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2262, 5494, 9990

Auto

3.4 4%

Teleop

63.1 78%

Endgame

14.1 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 17%

Blue · 467, 7153, 151

/ 100 compat

Projected

129 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 467, 7153, 151

Auto

29.1 23%

Teleop

75.2 59%

Endgame

22.2 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 17%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.57 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score107.7pts

Blue projected score129pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 17%, blue 9%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -21.4
Score range: 69–168
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 236 vs event baseline 215.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

176Season APEX318.9

3.4Auto29.1

63.1Teleop75.2

14.1Endgame22.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	54
teleop	18	61
endgame	30	41
foul	0	15
total	65	171

Result

Final score

65 – 171

Prediction correct · off by 42.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable