Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

256.85 – 80.98

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

341 – 216

Prediction correct · off by 109.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 475.8 ±9.8

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 84.84Rank 5Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 98.31Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1729Team Inconceivable!

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 73.7Rank 19Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 429.6 ±11.2

2265Fe Maidens

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX -5.02Rank 28Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

166Chop Shop

Season APEX 239.3Event APEX 71.14Rank 11Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1735Green Reapers

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 14.86Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8085, 48, 1729

/ 100 compat

Projected

256.9 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8085, 48, 1729

Auto

27.9 11%

Teleop

162.1 63%

Endgame

68.6 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 20%

Blue · 2265, 166, 1735

/ 100 compat

Projected

81 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2265, 166, 1735

Auto

19.4 25%

Teleop

46.0 60%

Endgame

11.2 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 20%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.91 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score256.9pts

Blue projected score81pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 20%, blue 7%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 175.9
Score range: 43–295
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 557 vs event baseline 210.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

475.8Season APEX429.6

27.9Auto19.4

162.1Teleop46

68.6Endgame11.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	10
teleop	193	116
endgame	67	90
foul	15	0
total	341	216

Result

Final score

341 – 216

Prediction correct · off by 109.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable