Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

330.38 – 483.83

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

223 – 468

Prediction correct · off by 61.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 540.1 ±9.8

20794H ALARM Robotics

Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 94.88Rank 26Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 60.6Rank 22Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1058PVC Pirates

Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 174.9Rank 10Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 725.4 ±11.4

2791Shaker Robotics

Season APEX 152Event APEX 60.88Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 189.31Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 233.64Rank 5Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2079, 2876, 1058

/ 100 compat

Projected

330.4 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2079, 2876, 1058

Auto

59.0 18%

Teleop

184.3 58%

Endgame

75.9 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 21%

Blue · 2791, 88, 5687

/ 100 compat

Projected

483.8 pts

~3.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2791, 88, 5687

Auto

95.1 20%

Teleop

271.5 57%

Endgame

111.5 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 21%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.44 · Blue 3.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score330.4pts

Blue projected score483.8pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 78%

Supercharged bonusred 28%, blue 44%

Traversal bonusred 21%, blue 22%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -153.4
Score range: 278–536
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 691 vs event baseline 287.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

540.1Season APEX725.4

59Auto95.1

184.3Teleop271.5

75.9Endgame111.5

33Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	94
teleop	114	251
endgame	48	123
foul	0	0
total	223	468

Result

Final score

223 – 468

Prediction correct · off by 61.6 pts