Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

251.59 – 137.17

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

389 – 646

Prediction missed · off by 323.1 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 533.1 ±11.5

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 106.29Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

271Mechanical Marauders

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX -Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

501The PowerKnights

Season APEX 68.8Event APEX 98Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 685.7 ±9.3

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 42.57Rank 22Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX -Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX -Rank 5Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1768, 271, 501

/ 100 compat

Projected

251.6 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1768, 271, 501

Auto

51.6 21%

Teleop

144.8 59%

Endgame

50.9 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 8%

Blue · 2876, 88, 5687

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.2 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2876, 88, 5687

Auto

31.2 23%

Teleop

63.0 47%

Endgame

38.6 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 8%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.7 · Blue 1.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score251.6pts

Blue projected score137.2pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 75%, blue 75%

Supercharged bonusred 25%, blue 41%

Traversal bonusred 8%, blue 22%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 114.4
Score range: 86–303
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1035 vs event baseline 283.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

533.1Season APEX685.7

37.4Auto2.9

121.2Teleop15.7

41.4Endgame19.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	84	141
teleop	152	364
endgame	153	141
foul	0	0
total	389	646

Result

Final score

389 – 646

Prediction missed · off by 323.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable