Qualification · Qualification 68
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
494.09 – 445.07
65%35%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
538 – 486
Prediction correct · off by 42.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 853.5 ±8.7
Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 185.25Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 79.12Rank 38Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 229.72Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 703.8 ±8.8
Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 54.41Rank 22Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 257.73Rank 4Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 132.93Rank 19Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 88, 2877, 1796
86
/ 100 compatProjected
494.1 pts
~2.7 RP (offseason)
Teams: 88, 2877, 1796
Auto
106.3 22%
Teleop
272.2 56%
Endgame
107.0 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 80%
Supercharged: 34%
Traversal: 22%
Blue · 2876, 3467, 1073
81
/ 100 compatProjected
445.1 pts
~1.8 RP (offseason)
Teams: 2876, 3467, 1073
Auto
59.8 13%
Teleop
242.4 55%
Endgame
141.2 32%
Strengths
- · 3467 anchors offense
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 80%
Supercharged: 34%
Traversal: 22%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.66 · Blue 1.83
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score494.1pts
Blue projected score445.1pts
Red win probability65%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 80%, blue 72%
Supercharged bonusred 34%, blue 31%
Traversal bonusred 22%, blue 11%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 49
- Score range
- 395–544
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
853.5Season APEX703.8
106.3Auto59.8
272.2Teleop242.4
107Endgame141.2
85Consistency73
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 123 | 78 |
| teleop | 313 | 262 |
| endgame | 102 | 146 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 538 | 486 |
Result
Final score
538 – 486
Prediction correct · off by 42.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable