Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

357.74 – 197.78

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

434 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 58.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 566.7 ±9.8

78AIR STRIKE

Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 91.16Rank 14Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 146Rank 11Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

228GUS

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 120.58Rank 6Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 291.9 ±41.1

8626Cyber Sailors

Season APEX 117.8Event APEX 19.82Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 75.53Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9644NEIA Robotics

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 102.43Rank 8Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 78, 6324, 228

/ 100 compat

Projected

357.7 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 78, 6324, 228

Auto

81.1 23%

Teleop

200.2 56%

Endgame

77.4 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 76%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 11%

Blue · 8626, 9990, 9644

/ 100 compat

Projected

197.8 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8626, 9990, 9644

Auto

36.5 19%

Teleop

82.0 43%

Endgame

72.2 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 76%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 11%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.82 · Blue 1.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score357.7pts

Blue projected score197.8pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 76%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 11%, blue 24%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 160
Score range: 148–408
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 673 vs event baseline 279.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

566.7Season APEX291.9

81.1Auto36.5

200.2Teleop82

77.4Endgame72.2

113Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	33
teleop	267	81
endgame	121	95
foul	5	30
total	434	239

Result

Final score

434 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 58.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable