Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

135.95 – 262.95

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

208 – 332

Prediction correct · off by 70.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 422.7 ±12.8

20794H ALARM Robotics

Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 66.32Rank 26Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2084Robots by the C

Season APEX 87.1Event APEX 3.96Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10413Flux Robotics

Season APEX 154.9Event APEX 65.67Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 578.5 ±9.4

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 188.91Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

839Rosie Robotics

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 37.89Rank 28Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5962perSEVERE

Season APEX 130.3Event APEX 36.15Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2079, 2084, 10413

/ 100 compat

Projected

136 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2079, 2084, 10413

Auto

6.5 5%

Teleop

73.9 55%

Endgame

52.9 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 7%

Blue · 1768, 839, 5962

/ 100 compat

Projected

263 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1768, 839, 5962

Auto

44.1 17%

Teleop

124.1 48%

Endgame

88.5 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 7%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.21 · Blue 2.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score136pts

Blue projected score263pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 7%, blue 11%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -127
Score range: 86–313
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 540 vs event baseline 279.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

422.7Season APEX578.5

6.5Auto44.1

73.9Teleop124.1

52.9Endgame88.5

82Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	59
teleop	136	182
endgame	54	76
foul	0	15
total	208	332

Result

Final score

208 – 332

Prediction correct · off by 70.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable