Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

105.19 – 193

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

177 – 78

Prediction missed · off by 93.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 715.9 ±9.3

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 71.54Rank 18Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 12.83Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 20.82Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 355.2 ±12.8

4048Redshift

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 42.59Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2872CyberCats

Season APEX 180.6Event APEX 86.5Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

501The PowerKnights

Season APEX 68.8Event APEX 63.91Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7407, 6328, 1100

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.2 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7407, 6328, 1100

Auto

29.9 32%

Teleop

36.6 40%

Endgame

25.6 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 8%

Blue · 4048, 2872, 501

/ 100 compat

Projected

193 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4048, 2872, 501

Auto

18.8 10%

Teleop

116.9 61%

Endgame

57.2 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 8%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.19 · Blue 2.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score105.2pts

Blue projected score193pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 8%, blue 6%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -87.8
Score range: 54–244
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 255 vs event baseline 282.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

715.9Season APEX355.2

29.9Auto18.8

36.6Teleop116.9

25.6Endgame57.2

114Consistency102

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	30
teleop	67	35
endgame	68	13
foul	0	0
total	177	78

Result

Final score

177 – 78

Prediction missed · off by 93.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable