Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

186.7 – 397.96

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

223 – 557

Prediction correct · off by 97.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 379.5 ±11

237Black Magic Robotics

Season APEX 103.8Event APEX 39.77Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5422Stormgears

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 81.26Rank 17Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 65.67Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 559.3 ±13

3950RoboGym Robotics

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 94.75Rank 16Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

271Mechanical Marauders

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 79.02Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 224.19Rank 5Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 237, 5422, 175

/ 100 compat

Projected

186.7 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 237, 5422, 175

Auto

51.8 28%

Teleop

90.9 50%

Endgame

40.4 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 7%

Blue · 3950, 271, 5687

/ 100 compat

Projected

398 pts

~3.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3950, 271, 5687

Auto

81.4 21%

Teleop

225.9 57%

Endgame

85.9 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 7%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.93 · Blue 3.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score186.7pts

Blue projected score398pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 80%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 34%

Traversal bonusred 7%, blue 15%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -211.3
Score range: 137–448
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 780 vs event baseline 280.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

379.5Season APEX559.3

51.8Auto81.4

90.9Teleop225.9

40.4Endgame85.9

57Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	109
teleop	84	293
endgame	72	150
foul	30	5
total	223	557

Result

Final score

223 – 557

Prediction correct · off by 97.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable