Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

480.46 – 160.54

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

457 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 12 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 737.1 ±9.9

1740Cyber Colonels

Season APEX 140.9Event APEX 107.4Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1073The Force Team

Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 138.33Rank 19Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 234.73Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 262.4 ±12.8

2712Power Surge 4-H Robotics

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 21.69Rank 44Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3623The Robomingos

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 26.35Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1601Quantum Samurai

Season APEX 118.6Event APEX 112.5Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1740, 1073, 1796

/ 100 compat

Projected

480.5 pts

~3.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1740, 1073, 1796

Auto

101.3 21%

Teleop

254.1 53%

Endgame

122.4 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 77%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 24%

Blue · 2712, 3623, 1601

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.5 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2712, 3623, 1601

Auto

30.2 21%

Teleop

59.8 41%

Endgame

55.6 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 77%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 24%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.25 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score480.5pts

Blue projected score160.5pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 77%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 24%, blue 16%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 319.9
Score range: 111–530
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 618 vs event baseline 279.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

737.1Season APEX262.4

101.3Auto30.2

254.1Teleop59.8

122.4Endgame55.6

92Consistency85

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	86	63
teleop	251	54
endgame	115	44
foul	5	0
total	457	161

Result

Final score

457 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 12 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable