Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

273.33 – 188.88

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

252 – 401

Prediction missed · off by 116.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 494.2 ±11.9

1058PVC Pirates

Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 152.33Rank 10Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2791Shaker Robotics

Season APEX 152Event APEX 70.82Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

1735Green Reapers

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 50.18Rank 45Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 498.6 ±10.8

2168Aluminum Falcons

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 18.1Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6911SO BOTZ

Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 50.22Rank 25Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 120.56Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1058, 2791, 1735

/ 100 compat

Projected

273.3 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1058, 2791, 1735

Auto

24.8 10%

Teleop

165.5 65%

Endgame

63.9 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 16%

Blue · 2168, 6911, 190

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.9 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2168, 6911, 190

Auto

49.5 26%

Teleop

81.5 42%

Endgame

61.8 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 16%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.56 · Blue 1.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score273.3pts

Blue projected score188.9pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 16%, blue 13%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 84.4
Score range: 139–323
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 653 vs event baseline 279.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

494.2Season APEX498.6

24.8Auto49.5

165.5Teleop81.5

63.9Endgame61.8

71Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	78	62
teleop	130	205
endgame	44	134
foul	0	0
total	252	401

Result

Final score

252 – 401

Prediction missed · off by 116.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable