Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

245.85 – 334.58

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

216 – 330

Prediction correct · off by 17.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 267.8 ±40.9

9997Off-Season Demo Team 9997

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 160.94Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

319Big Bad Bob

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 36.1Rank 37Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4041Iron Tigers

Season APEX 110.1Event APEX 48.81Rank 42Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 683 ±9.3

8046LakerBots

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 141.34Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 52.94Rank 22Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 140.3Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9997, 319, 4041

/ 100 compat

Projected

245.9 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9997, 319, 4041

Auto

23.8 10%

Teleop

138.7 57%

Endgame

81.6 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 7%

Blue · 8046, 2876, 5000

/ 100 compat

Projected

334.6 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8046, 2876, 5000

Auto

63.3 19%

Teleop

186.4 57%

Endgame

76.0 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 7%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.39 · Blue 2.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score245.9pts

Blue projected score334.6pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 73%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 7%, blue 15%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -88.7
Score range: 196–385
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 546 vs event baseline 279.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

267.8Season APEX683

23.8Auto63.3

138.7Teleop186.4

81.6Endgame76

124Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	58
teleop	104	168
endgame	56	104
foul	5	0
total	216	330

Result

Final score

216 – 330

Prediction correct · off by 17.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable