Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

249.72 – 273.33

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

238 – 449

Prediction correct · off by 93.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 431.5 ±41.1

2877LigerBots

Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 77.22Rank 38Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 83.6Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2872CyberCats

Season APEX 180.6Event APEX 88.9Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 494 ±10.8

501The PowerKnights

Season APEX 68.8Event APEX 47.95Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2084Robots by the C

Season APEX 87.1Event APEX -15.18Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 240.56Rank 4Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2877, 9990, 2872

/ 100 compat

Projected

249.7 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2877, 9990, 2872

Auto

64.7 27%

Teleop

131.9 55%

Endgame

42.9 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 11%

Blue · 501, 2084, 3467

/ 100 compat

Projected

273.3 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 501, 2084, 3467

Auto

28.6 11%

Teleop

158.9 59%

Endgame

80.2 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 11%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.81 · Blue 2.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score249.7pts

Blue projected score273.3pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 11%, blue 4%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -23.6
Score range: 200–323
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 687 vs event baseline 278.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

431.5Season APEX494

64.7Auto28.6

131.9Teleop158.9

42.9Endgame80.2

57Consistency116

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	31
teleop	159	249
endgame	33	169
foul	0	0
total	238	449

Result

Final score

238 – 449

Prediction correct · off by 93.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable