Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

272.88 – 187.2

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

402 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 90.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 561.2 ±11.2

2872CyberCats

Season APEX 180.6Event APEX 72.54Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

8046LakerBots

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 149.02Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

839Rosie Robotics

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 51.32Rank 28Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 395.6 ±13.5

2791Shaker Robotics

Season APEX 152Event APEX 57.12Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

20794H ALARM Robotics

Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 78.52Rank 26Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2168Aluminum Falcons

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 51.56Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2872, 8046, 839

/ 100 compat

Projected

272.9 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2872, 8046, 839

Auto

44.1 17%

Teleop

153.0 58%

Endgame

66.9 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 7%

Blue · 2791, 2079, 2168

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.2 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2791, 2079, 2168

Auto

26.6 14%

Teleop

114.8 62%

Endgame

43.9 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 7%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.44 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score272.9pts

Blue projected score187.2pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 27%

Traversal bonusred 7%, blue 21%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 85.7
Score range: 135–325
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 538 vs event baseline 289.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

561.2Season APEX395.6

44.1Auto26.6

153Teleop114.8

66.9Endgame43.9

95Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	11
teleop	245	119
endgame	104	6
foul	0	0
total	402	136

Result

Final score

402 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 90.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable