Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

101.7 – 302.75

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

261 – 374

Prediction correct · off by 115.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 438.2 ±10.4

20794H ALARM Robotics

Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 51.87Rank 26Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 47.78Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 2.05Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 493.7 ±11.2

228GUS

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 110.65Rank 6Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 183.01Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8626Cyber Sailors

Season APEX 117.8Event APEX 9.09Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2079, 175, 1100

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.7 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2079, 175, 1100

Auto

29.2 32%

Teleop

40.2 44%

Endgame

21.1 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 7%

Blue · 228, 88, 8626

/ 100 compat

Projected

302.7 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 228, 88, 8626

Auto

61.0 21%

Teleop

147.8 51%

Endgame

81.9 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 7%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.95 · Blue 2.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score101.7pts

Blue projected score302.7pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 7%, blue 20%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -201
Score range: 52–353
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 635 vs event baseline 277.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

438.2Season APEX493.7

29.2Auto61

40.2Teleop147.8

21.1Endgame81.9

116Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	83
teleop	117	188
endgame	93	103
foul	15	0
total	261	374

Result

Final score

261 – 374

Prediction correct · off by 115.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable