Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

392.35 – 580.9

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

335 – 337

Prediction correct · off by 150.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 584.8 ±10.5

1740Cyber Colonels

Season APEX 140.9Event APEX 109.62Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 240.43Rank 5Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5962perSEVERE

Season APEX 130.3Event APEX 42.3Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 785.6 ±8.7

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 271.34Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9644NEIA Robotics

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 131.45Rank 8Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 178.11Rank 11Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1740, 5687, 5962

/ 100 compat

Projected

392.4 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1740, 5687, 5962

Auto

68.4 17%

Teleop

220.5 56%

Endgame

102.6 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 16%

Blue · 1796, 9644, 6324

/ 100 compat

Projected

580.9 pts

~3.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1796, 9644, 6324

Auto

107.8 18%

Teleop

324.4 55%

Endgame

152.6 26%

Strengths

· 1796 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 16%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.32 · Blue 3.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score392.4pts

Blue projected score580.9pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 74%, blue 77%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 16%, blue 28%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -188.5
Score range: 342–631
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 672 vs event baseline 276.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

584.8Season APEX785.6

68.4Auto107.8

220.5Teleop324.4

102.6Endgame152.6

21Consistency113

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	130	54
teleop	129	175
endgame	61	108
foul	15	0
total	335	337

Result

Final score

335 – 337

Prediction correct · off by 150.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable