Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

282.6 – 207.45

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

556 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 154.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 594.5 ±10.2

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 90.1Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3950RoboGym Robotics

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 69.68Rank 16Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1058PVC Pirates

Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 122.82Rank 10Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 446.5 ±11.2

2712Power Surge 4-H Robotics

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 22.51Rank 44Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

839Rosie Robotics

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 42.27Rank 28Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1073The Force Team

Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 142.67Rank 19Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 190, 3950, 1058

/ 100 compat

Projected

282.6 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 190, 3950, 1058

Auto

73.6 26%

Teleop

140.8 50%

Endgame

69.0 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 16%

Blue · 2712, 839, 1073

/ 100 compat

Projected

207.5 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2712, 839, 1073

Auto

52.5 26%

Teleop

87.4 43%

Endgame

63.6 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 16%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.65 · Blue 1.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score282.6pts

Blue projected score207.5pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 33%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 16%, blue 15%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 75.2
Score range: 158–332
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 728 vs event baseline 274.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

594.5Season APEX446.5

73.6Auto52.5

140.8Teleop87.4

69Endgame63.6

42Consistency86

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	101	33
teleop	360	76
endgame	95	63
foul	0	0
total	556	172

Result

Final score

556 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 154.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable