Qualification · Qualification 54
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
146.65 – 227.16
27%73%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
28 – 162
Prediction correct · off by 91.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 352.4 ±10.4
Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 44.09Rank 37Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 64.83Rank 22Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 37.73Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 499.4 ±11.7
Season APEX 154.9Event APEX 85.87Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 51.05Rank 25Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 90.24Rank 17Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 319, 2876, 3623
43
/ 100 compatProjected
146.7 pts
~1.4 RP (offseason)
Teams: 319, 2876, 3623
Auto
42.7 31%
Teleop
58.9 42%
Endgame
38.0 27%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 17%
Blue · 10413, 6911, 5422
58
/ 100 compatProjected
227.2 pts
~2.3 RP (offseason)
Teams: 10413, 6911, 5422
Auto
43.5 20%
Teleop
104.4 48%
Endgame
70.8 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 17%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.42 · Blue 2.32
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score146.7pts
Blue projected score227.2pts
Red win probability27%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 65%
Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 15%
Traversal bonusred 17%, blue 6%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -80.5
- Score range
- 97–277
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
352.4Season APEX499.4
42.7Auto43.5
58.9Teleop104.4
38Endgame70.8
69Consistency91
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 20 | 32 |
| teleop | 4 | 72 |
| endgame | 4 | 58 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 28 | 162 |
Result
Final score
28 – 162
Prediction correct · off by 91.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable