Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

204.24 – 237.63

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

130 – 234

Prediction correct · off by 38.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 199.1 ±40.9

501The PowerKnights

Season APEX 68.8Event APEX 59.9Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5962perSEVERE

Season APEX 130.3Event APEX 49.28Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 95.06Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 451.8 ±11.4

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 88.73Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2712Power Surge 4-H Robotics

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 26.53Rank 44Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1740Cyber Colonels

Season APEX 140.9Event APEX 122.37Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 501, 5962, 9990

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.2 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 501, 5962, 9990

Auto

43.2 22%

Teleop

89.9 45%

Endgame

67.1 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 11%

Blue · 190, 2712, 1740

/ 100 compat

Projected

237.6 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 190, 2712, 1740

Auto

66.4 29%

Teleop

116.8 51%

Endgame

44.7 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 11%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.7 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score204.2pts

Blue projected score237.6pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 11%, blue 16%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -33.4
Score range: 154–288
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 364 vs event baseline 279.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

199.1Season APEX451.8

43.2Auto66.4

89.9Teleop116.8

67.1Endgame44.7

62Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	71
teleop	58	95
endgame	60	68
foul	0	0
total	130	234

Result

Final score

130 – 234

Prediction correct · off by 38.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable