Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

297.1 – 371.22

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

291 – 485

Prediction correct · off by 59.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 593 ±9.8

4041Iron Tigers

Season APEX 110.1Event APEX 45.63Rank 42Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX -6.52Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 257.99Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 744.2 ±10.2

2872CyberCats

Season APEX 180.6Event APEX 96.26Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 174.26Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1058PVC Pirates

Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 100.7Rank 10Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4041, 1100, 1796

/ 100 compat

Projected

297.1 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4041, 1100, 1796

Auto

50.2 17%

Teleop

151.2 51%

Endgame

94.5 32%

Strengths

· 1796 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 12%

Blue · 2872, 1768, 1058

/ 100 compat

Projected

371.2 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2872, 1768, 1058

Auto

51.6 14%

Teleop

198.4 55%

Endgame

108.2 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 12%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.55 · Blue 2.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score297.1pts

Blue projected score371.2pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 71%, blue 80%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 31%

Traversal bonusred 12%, blue 9%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -74.1
Score range: 247–421
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 776 vs event baseline 277.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

593Season APEX744.2

50.2Auto51.6

151.2Teleop198.4

94.5Endgame108.2

117Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	77	75
teleop	157	301
endgame	57	104
foul	0	5
total	291	485

Result

Final score

291 – 485

Prediction correct · off by 59.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable