Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

247.84 – 181.47

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

69 – 206

Prediction missed · off by 101.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 416.4 ±12.4

6911SO BOTZ

Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 77.26Rank 25Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3623The Robomingos

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 53.16Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

271Mechanical Marauders

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 117.42Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 535.4 ±10.7

2084Robots by the C

Season APEX 87.1Event APEX -27.06Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9644NEIA Robotics

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 114.97Rank 8Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 93.56Rank 18Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6911, 3623, 271

/ 100 compat

Projected

247.8 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6911, 3623, 271

Auto

62.1 25%

Teleop

91.1 37%

Endgame

92.8 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 12%

Blue · 2084, 9644, 7407

/ 100 compat

Projected

181.5 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2084, 9644, 7407

Auto

40.2 21%

Teleop

100.8 53%

Endgame

50.7 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 12%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.35 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score247.8pts

Blue projected score181.5pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 12%, blue 10%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 66.4
Score range: 130–299
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 275 vs event baseline 280.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

416.4Season APEX535.4

62.1Auto40.2

91.1Teleop100.8

92.8Endgame50.7

131Consistency94

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	20
teleop	5	116
endgame	5	70
foul	30	0
total	69	206

Result

Final score

69 – 206

Prediction missed · off by 101.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable