Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

72.6 – 210.04

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

279 – 336

Prediction correct · off by 166.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 373.7 ±11.7

3950RoboGym Robotics

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 25.78Rank 16Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1735Green Reapers

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 24.42Rank 45Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

20794H ALARM Robotics

Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 22.4Rank 26Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 461.2 ±9.8

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 146.02Rank 11Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4041Iron Tigers

Season APEX 110.1Event APEX 18.03Rank 42Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3623The Robomingos

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 45.99Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3950, 1735, 2079

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.6 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3950, 1735, 2079

Auto

0.0 0%

Teleop

42.8 87%

Endgame

6.6 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 13%

Blue · 6324, 4041, 3623

/ 100 compat

Projected

210 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6324, 4041, 3623

Auto

40.4 19%

Teleop

122.0 57%

Endgame

52.3 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 13%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.35 · Blue 2.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score72.6pts

Blue projected score210pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 71%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 13%, blue 19%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -137.4
Score range: 23–260
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 615 vs event baseline 279.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

373.7Season APEX461.2

0Auto40.4

42.8Teleop122

6.6Endgame52.3

80Consistency111

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	63
teleop	173	122
endgame	51	151
foul	5	0
total	279	336

Result

Final score

279 – 336

Prediction correct · off by 166.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable