Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

194.48 – 212.05

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

132 – 230

Prediction correct · off by 40.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 397.3 ±13.5

271Mechanical Marauders

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 132.97Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

8626Cyber Sailors

Season APEX 117.8Event APEX 23.81Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

839Rosie Robotics

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 37.7Rank 28Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 436.9 ±10.4

78AIR STRIKE

Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 86.06Rank 14Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

501The PowerKnights

Season APEX 68.8Event APEX 51.35Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6911SO BOTZ

Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 74.64Rank 25Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 271, 8626, 839

/ 100 compat

Projected

194.5 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 271, 8626, 839

Auto

55.9 29%

Teleop

71.6 37%

Endgame

68.6 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 15%

Blue · 78, 501, 6911

/ 100 compat

Projected

212.1 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 78, 501, 6911

Auto

42.3 20%

Teleop

99.1 48%

Endgame

66.0 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 15%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.78 · Blue 2.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score194.5pts

Blue projected score212.1pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 15%, blue 4%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -17.6
Score range: 143–263
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 362 vs event baseline 281.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

397.3Season APEX436.9

55.9Auto42.3

71.6Teleop99.1

68.6Endgame66

96Consistency160

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	58
teleop	50	133
endgame	36	39
foul	15	0
total	132	230

Result

Final score

132 – 230

Prediction correct · off by 40.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable