Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

125.29 – 432.2

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

134 – 544

Prediction correct · off by 60.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 522.2 ±11.2

319Big Bad Bob

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 50.6Rank 37Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2168Aluminum Falcons

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 39.65Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 35.04Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 571.2 ±9.8

228GUS

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 117.31Rank 6Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 241.99Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 72.9Rank 22Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 319, 2168, 6328

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.3 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 319, 2168, 6328

Auto

14.6 11%

Teleop

59.2 46%

Endgame

54.0 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 14%

Blue · 228, 1796, 2876

/ 100 compat

Projected

432.2 pts

~3.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 228, 1796, 2876

Auto

90.3 21%

Teleop

248.1 58%

Endgame

89.4 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 14%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.77 · Blue 3.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score125.3pts

Blue projected score432.2pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 75%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 28%

Traversal bonusred 14%, blue 22%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -306.9
Score range: 75–482
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 678 vs event baseline 280.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

522.2Season APEX571.2

14.6Auto90.3

59.2Teleop248.1

54Endgame89.4

89Consistency97

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	90
teleop	84	288
endgame	23	166
foul	15	0
total	134	544

Result

Final score

134 – 544

Prediction correct · off by 60.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable