Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

304.84 – 152.35

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

420 – 160

Prediction correct · off by 61.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 727.2 ±11.4

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 136.39Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1073The Force Team

Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 101.74Rank 19Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2791Shaker Robotics

Season APEX 152Event APEX 66.71Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 204.5 ±41.2

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 118.99Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 52.02Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2084Robots by the C

Season APEX 87.1Event APEX -18.66Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5000, 1073, 2791

/ 100 compat

Projected

304.8 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5000, 1073, 2791

Auto

35.2 12%

Teleop

171.0 58%

Endgame

90.2 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 21%

Blue · 9990, 175, 2084

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.4 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9990, 175, 2084

Auto

45.3 31%

Teleop

51.2 35%

Endgame

49.9 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 21%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.87 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score304.8pts

Blue projected score152.4pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 21%, blue 8%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 152.5
Score range: 102–355
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 580 vs event baseline 280.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

727.2Season APEX204.5

35.2Auto45.3

171Teleop51.2

90.2Endgame49.9

98Consistency86

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	40
teleop	263	76
endgame	90	44
foul	0	0
total	420	160

Result

Final score

420 – 160

Prediction correct · off by 61.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable