Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

192.46 – 233.4

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

209 – 253

Prediction correct · off by 18.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 330.6 ±11.2

2712Power Surge 4-H Robotics

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 48.51Rank 44Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1735Green Reapers

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 24.01Rank 45Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9644NEIA Robotics

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 119.94Rank 8Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 519.6 ±11.7

5422Stormgears

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 97.42Rank 17Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

20794H ALARM Robotics

Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 28.47Rank 26Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2872CyberCats

Season APEX 180.6Event APEX 107.51Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2712, 1735, 9644

/ 100 compat

Projected

192.5 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2712, 1735, 9644

Auto

27.3 15%

Teleop

109.9 62%

Endgame

41.0 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 14%

Blue · 5422, 2079, 2872

/ 100 compat

Projected

233.4 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5422, 2079, 2872

Auto

33.9 16%

Teleop

154.0 71%

Endgame

29.9 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 14%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.52 · Blue 2.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score192.5pts

Blue projected score233.4pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 14%, blue 9%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -40.9
Score range: 141–284
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 462 vs event baseline 280.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

330.6Season APEX519.6

27.3Auto33.9

109.9Teleop154

41Endgame29.9

125Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	66
teleop	106	147
endgame	62	35
foul	15	5
total	209	253

Result

Final score

209 – 253

Prediction correct · off by 18.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable