Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

250.46 – 154.72

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

294 – 263

Prediction correct · off by 75.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 442.6 ±12.8

4048Redshift

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 44.32Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10413Flux Robotics

Season APEX 154.9Event APEX 133.42Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

78AIR STRIKE

Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 72.72Rank 14Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 282.8 ±11.7

501The PowerKnights

Season APEX 68.8Event APEX 47.46Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

228GUS

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 98.23Rank 6Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3950RoboGym Robotics

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 9.03Rank 16Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4048, 10413, 78

/ 100 compat

Projected

250.5 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4048, 10413, 78

Auto

38.9 16%

Teleop

121.3 49%

Endgame

89.1 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 7%

Blue · 501, 228, 3950

/ 100 compat

Projected

154.7 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 501, 228, 3950

Auto

29.8 19%

Teleop

103.9 65%

Endgame

25.4 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 7%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.31 · Blue 1.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score250.5pts

Blue projected score154.7pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 73%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 7%, blue 9%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 95.7
Score range: 105–300
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 557 vs event baseline 278.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

442.6Season APEX282.8

38.9Auto29.8

121.3Teleop103.9

89.1Endgame25.4

109Consistency123

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	47
teleop	181	149
endgame	104	52
foul	0	15
total	294	263

Result

Final score

294 – 263

Prediction correct · off by 75.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable