Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

266.54 – 271.65

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

289 – 384

Prediction correct · off by 67.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 527.2 ±11.2

2877LigerBots

Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 102.69Rank 38Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

319Big Bad Bob

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 51.77Rank 37Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1601Quantum Samurai

Season APEX 118.6Event APEX 112.08Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 583.4 ±13

2791Shaker Robotics

Season APEX 152Event APEX 58.83Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 205.35Rank 5Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8626Cyber Sailors

Season APEX 117.8Event APEX 7.47Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2877, 319, 1601

/ 100 compat

Projected

266.5 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2877, 319, 1601

Auto

40.6 16%

Teleop

100.5 40%

Endgame

109.5 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 12%

Blue · 2791, 5687, 8626

/ 100 compat

Projected

271.7 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2791, 5687, 8626

Auto

55.0 21%

Teleop

128.7 49%

Endgame

79.8 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 12%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.87 · Blue 2.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score266.5pts

Blue projected score271.7pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 27%

Traversal bonusred 12%, blue 18%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -5.1
Score range: 217–322
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 673 vs event baseline 276.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

527.2Season APEX583.4

40.6Auto55

100.5Teleop128.7

109.5Endgame79.8

106Consistency120

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	68
teleop	167	210
endgame	93	101
foul	0	5
total	289	384

Result

Final score

289 – 384

Prediction correct · off by 67.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable