Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

329.19 – 91.06

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

231 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 62.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 476.8 ±9.8

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 105.24Rank 22Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1058PVC Pirates

Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 156.34Rank 10Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 67.61Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 519 ±11.2

2084Robots by the C

Season APEX 87.1Event APEX -1.07Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5962perSEVERE

Season APEX 130.3Event APEX 62.77Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 29.36Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2876, 1058, 175

/ 100 compat

Projected

329.2 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2876, 1058, 175

Auto

77.7 25%

Teleop

134.5 44%

Endgame

95.8 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 12%

Blue · 2084, 5962, 6328

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.1 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2084, 5962, 6328

Auto

28.2 33%

Teleop

-29.5 0%

Endgame

86.3 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 12%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.83 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score329.2pts

Blue projected score91.1pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 12%, blue 8%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 238.1
Score range: 41–379
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 295 vs event baseline 277.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

476.8Season APEX519

77.7Auto28.2

134.5Teleop-29.5

95.8Endgame86.3

90Consistency83

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	15
teleop	119	42
endgame	86	7
foul	0	0
total	231	64

Result

Final score

231 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 62.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable