Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

200.45 – 228.42

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

409 – 216

Prediction missed · off by 110.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 689 ±9.5

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 84.5Rank 11Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 122.44Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

237Black Magic Robotics

Season APEX 103.8Event APEX -6.49Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 398.7 ±11.2

3623The Robomingos

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 73.86Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2168Aluminum Falcons

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 59.7Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1073The Force Team

Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 94.86Rank 19Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6324, 1768, 237

/ 100 compat

Projected

200.5 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6324, 1768, 237

Auto

21.6 11%

Teleop

79.8 42%

Endgame

88.0 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 76%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 12%

Blue · 3623, 2168, 1073

/ 100 compat

Projected

228.4 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3623, 2168, 1073

Auto

56.8 25%

Teleop

128.7 56%

Endgame

45.1 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 76%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 12%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.96 · Blue 2.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score200.5pts

Blue projected score228.4pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 76%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 25%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 12%, blue 23%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -28
Score range: 150–278
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 625 vs event baseline 275.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

689Season APEX398.7

21.6Auto56.8

79.8Teleop128.7

88Endgame45.1

152Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	36
teleop	270	71
endgame	79	109
foul	0	0
total	409	216

Result

Final score

409 – 216

Prediction missed · off by 110.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable