Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

359.97 – 125.27

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

461 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 62.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 569.9 ±10.5

1058PVC Pirates

Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 165.6Rank 10Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1740Cyber Colonels

Season APEX 140.9Event APEX 102.7Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

78AIR STRIKE

Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 91.67Rank 14Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 321.9 ±12.2

237Black Magic Robotics

Season APEX 103.8Event APEX 20.8Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 58.62Rank 22Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4048Redshift

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 45.85Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1058, 1740, 78

/ 100 compat

Projected

360 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1058, 1740, 78

Auto

80.1 23%

Teleop

201.9 58%

Endgame

67.4 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 12%

Blue · 237, 2876, 4048

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.3 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 237, 2876, 4048

Auto

26.6 21%

Teleop

55.9 43%

Endgame

47.1 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 12%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score360pts

Blue projected score125.3pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 74%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 12%, blue 14%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 234.7
Score range: 73–412
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 610 vs event baseline 289.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

569.9Season APEX321.9

80.1Auto26.6

201.9Teleop55.9

67.4Endgame47.1

84Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	95	10
teleop	305	55
endgame	61	69
foul	0	15
total	461	149

Result

Final score

461 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 62.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable