Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

133.35 – 92.09

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

383 – 198

Prediction correct · off by 177.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 574.6 ±12.4

10413Flux Robotics

Season APEX 154.9Event APEX 76.86Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 73.38Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3950RoboGym Robotics

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX -16.89Rank 16Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 547.9 ±12

2872CyberCats

Season APEX 180.6Event APEX 75.82Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

8626Cyber Sailors

Season APEX 117.8Event APEX -15.78Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 32.05Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10413, 5000, 3950

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.4 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10413, 5000, 3950

Auto

11.3 9%

Teleop

110.7 86%

Endgame

7.1 5%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 10%

Blue · 2872, 8626, 190

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.1 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2872, 8626, 190

Auto

38.1 42%

Teleop

86.5 96%

Endgame

-34.9 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 10%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.25 · Blue 1.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score133.4pts

Blue projected score92.1pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 10%, blue 10%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 41.3
Score range: 42–183
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 581 vs event baseline 279.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

574.6Season APEX547.9

11.3Auto38.1

110.7Teleop86.5

7.1Endgame-34.9

142Consistency175

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	70	68
teleop	233	91
endgame	80	39
foul	0	0
total	383	198

Result

Final score

383 – 198

Prediction correct · off by 177.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable