Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

239.03 – 483.98

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

224 – 505

Prediction correct · off by 18 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 469.7 ±11.9

2791Shaker Robotics

Season APEX 152Event APEX 10.12Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

501The PowerKnights

Season APEX 68.8Event APEX 65.23Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8046LakerBots

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 163.68Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 743.5 ±8.8

5422Stormgears

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 119.31Rank 17Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 199.21Rank 4Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1058PVC Pirates

Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 165.46Rank 10Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2791, 501, 8046

/ 100 compat

Projected

239 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2791, 501, 8046

Auto

21.0 9%

Teleop

122.4 52%

Endgame

91.9 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 8%

Blue · 5422, 3467, 1058

/ 100 compat

Projected

484 pts

~3.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5422, 3467, 1058

Auto

48.5 10%

Teleop

306.3 65%

Endgame

117.7 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 8%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.09 · Blue 3.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score239pts

Blue projected score484pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 75%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 32%

Traversal bonusred 8%, blue 9%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -244.9
Score range: 189–534
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 729 vs event baseline 276.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

469.7Season APEX743.5

21Auto48.5

122.4Teleop306.3

91.9Endgame117.7

164Consistency112

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	104
teleop	122	227
endgame	82	144
foul	0	30
total	224	505

Result

Final score

224 – 505

Prediction correct · off by 18 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable