Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

105 – 223.43

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

355 – 313

Prediction missed · off by 169.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 483.1 ±11.2

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 111.99Rank 5Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3623The Robomingos

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 13.61Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2084Robots by the C

Season APEX 87.1Event APEX -20.6Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 244.8 ±41.2

78AIR STRIKE

Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 65.46Rank 14Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9997Off-Season Demo Team 9997

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 127.68Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2168Aluminum Falcons

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 30.29Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5687, 3623, 2084

/ 100 compat

Projected

105 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5687, 3623, 2084

Auto

26.3 25%

Teleop

38.9 37%

Endgame

40.6 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 13%

Blue · 78, 9997, 2168

/ 100 compat

Projected

223.4 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 78, 9997, 2168

Auto

39.7 18%

Teleop

171.9 80%

Endgame

3.9 2%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 13%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.36 · Blue 2.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score105pts

Blue projected score223.4pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 13%, blue 7%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -118.4
Score range: 55–273
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 668 vs event baseline 275.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

483.1Season APEX244.8

26.3Auto39.7

38.9Teleop171.9

40.6Endgame3.9

49Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	96	83
teleop	182	135
endgame	77	95
foul	0	0
total	355	313

Result

Final score

355 – 313

Prediction missed · off by 169.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable