Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

463.38 – 261.87

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

307 – 163

Prediction correct · off by 127.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 877.9 ±8.1

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 221.03Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 62.72Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 179.63Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 238.8 ±41.4

1740Cyber Colonels

Season APEX 140.9Event APEX 118.78Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3950RoboGym Robotics

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX -4.09Rank 16Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 147.18Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 88, 6328, 1768

/ 100 compat

Projected

463.4 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 88, 6328, 1768

Auto

100.3 21%

Teleop

237.3 50%

Endgame

140.0 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 14%

Blue · 1740, 3950, 9990

/ 100 compat

Projected

261.9 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1740, 3950, 9990

Auto

61.1 25%

Teleop

132.4 54%

Endgame

51.7 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 14%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.9 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score463.4pts

Blue projected score261.9pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 14%, blue 18%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 201.5
Score range: 213–512
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 470 vs event baseline 271.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

877.9Season APEX238.8

100.3Auto61.1

237.3Teleop132.4

140Endgame51.7

124Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	50
teleop	105	78
endgame	130	35
foul	50	0
total	307	163

Result

Final score

307 – 163

Prediction correct · off by 127.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable