Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

143.14 – 333.82

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

180 – 412

Prediction correct · off by 57.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 353.5 ±13.5

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 22.41Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2712Power Surge 4-H Robotics

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 85.99Rank 44Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2791Shaker Robotics

Season APEX 152Event APEX 34.74Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 673.9 ±8.7

8046LakerBots

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 127.31Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2877LigerBots

Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 109.12Rank 38Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9644NEIA Robotics

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 97.39Rank 8Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1100, 2712, 2791

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.1 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1100, 2712, 2791

Auto

21.6 15%

Teleop

88.9 61%

Endgame

34.1 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 9%

Blue · 8046, 2877, 9644

/ 100 compat

Projected

333.8 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8046, 2877, 9644

Auto

61.1 19%

Teleop

204.2 62%

Endgame

62.7 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 9%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.93 · Blue 2.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score143.1pts

Blue projected score333.8pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 9%, blue 13%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -190.7
Score range: 94–383
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 592 vs event baseline 270.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

353.5Season APEX673.9

21.6Auto61.1

88.9Teleop204.2

34.1Endgame62.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	70
teleop	50	223
endgame	68	119
foul	30	0
total	180	412

Result

Final score

180 – 412

Prediction correct · off by 57.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable