Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

286.36 – 247.26

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

343 – 275

Prediction correct · off by 42.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 473 ±11.2

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 221.62Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

501The PowerKnights

Season APEX 68.8Event APEX 40.71Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2712Power Surge 4-H Robotics

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 24.03Rank 44Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 212.5 ±40.9

1735Green Reapers

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 28.16Rank 45Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 61.93Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9997Off-Season Demo Team 9997

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 157.17Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1796, 501, 2712

/ 100 compat

Projected

286.4 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1796, 501, 2712

Auto

66.8 24%

Teleop

147.2 53%

Endgame

65.3 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 12%

Blue · 1735, 175, 9997

/ 100 compat

Projected

247.3 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1735, 175, 9997

Auto

36.1 16%

Teleop

111.3 49%

Endgame

78.9 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 12%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.15 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score286.4pts

Blue projected score247.3pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 12%, blue 5%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 39.1
Score range: 195–338
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 618 vs event baseline 289.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

473Season APEX212.5

66.8Auto36.1

147.2Teleop111.3

65.3Endgame78.9

110Consistency119

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	18
teleop	199	140
endgame	72	87
foul	15	30
total	343	275

Result

Final score

343 – 275

Prediction correct · off by 42.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable