Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

110.61 – 171.34

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

65 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 33.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 316.5 ±11

5962perSEVERE

Season APEX 130.3Event APEX 90.36Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

237Black Magic Robotics

Season APEX 103.8Event APEX -24.66Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3623The Robomingos

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 44.91Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 395.2 ±11.7

4048Redshift

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 4.8Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

319Big Bad Bob

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 76.5Rank 37Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

839Rosie Robotics

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 90.04Rank 28Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5962, 237, 3623

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.6 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5962, 237, 3623

Auto

10.0 9%

Teleop

59.4 56%

Endgame

37.3 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 13%

Blue · 4048, 319, 839

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.3 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4048, 319, 839

Auto

17.6 11%

Teleop

71.3 43%

Endgame

78.1 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 13%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.53 · Blue 2.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score110.6pts

Blue projected score171.3pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 13%, blue 14%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -60.7
Score range: 62–220
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 215 vs event baseline 273.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

316.5Season APEX395.2

10Auto17.6

59.4Teleop71.3

37.3Endgame78.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	35
teleop	27	41
endgame	16	74
foul	0	0
total	65	150

Result

Final score

65 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 33.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable