Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

407.68 – 292.46

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

256 – 280

Prediction missed · off by 82.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 366.8 ±41.2

6911SO BOTZ

Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 102.71Rank 25Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9997Off-Season Demo Team 9997

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 172.58Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2872CyberCats

Season APEX 180.6Event APEX 132.39Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 527.8 ±9.8

1073The Force Team

Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 72.47Rank 19Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5422Stormgears

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 137.85Rank 17Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

228GUS

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 82.14Rank 6Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6911, 9997, 2872

/ 100 compat

Projected

407.7 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6911, 9997, 2872

Auto

52.6 13%

Teleop

245.1 61%

Endgame

105.8 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 77%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 4%

Blue · 1073, 5422, 228

/ 100 compat

Projected

292.5 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1073, 5422, 228

Auto

58.9 19%

Teleop

226.6 74%

Endgame

22.2 7%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 77%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 4%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.61 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score407.7pts

Blue projected score292.5pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 77%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 4%, blue 16%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 115.2
Score range: 242–458
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 536 vs event baseline 276.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

366.8Season APEX527.8

52.6Auto58.9

245.1Teleop226.6

105.8Endgame22.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	66
teleop	144	127
endgame	52	87
foul	15	0
total	256	280

Result

Final score

256 – 280

Prediction missed · off by 82.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable